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Airline bulletin provides late breaking information on airlines, fares, and travel. Airobserver news and opinions on the european aviation industry. While us carriers have made efforts to reduce their capacity and form strategic partnerships with other carriers, it does not appear likely that we will see a full fledged merger or buyout in the us in the coming year.

That being said, anyone is a possible takeover target or buyer. Even southwest, which has historically avoided growth by acquisition with a few exceptions, has signaled of late that it is open to potential mergers.

The airline has been very aggressive in implementing ancillary revenue generating programs and cutting costs capacity. But american and us airways have almost no fleet compatibility american is mostly boeing, us airways is mostly airbus. And another merger would only further complicate the labor troubles that have hampered us airways recently, particularly with its pilots union having trouble integrating seniority between old us airways pilots and former america west pilots.

However, both carriers are relatively weak in asia and the middle east, areas where they will need to ramp up capacity if they hope to compete in these increasingly important business markets. Us airways as noted above has been very aggressive, perhaps the most aggressive of any legacy carrier in seeking out new ancillary revenue opportunities, and transforming itself into an lcc which can effectively compete against the likes of southwest, jetblue, and airtran on the ultra competitive routes along the eastern seaboard.

Now the carrier has realigned its costs, and a buyout of spirit would make accessing such routes much easier. The two slot swap deals announced earlier this year, which if approved will strengthen legacy carriers at slot congested airports while helping to keep out low cost competitors.

Us airwayswould rather stifle demand with higher fares and higher profits thanlower fares which stimulates demand but reduces yields, which is what southwest tends to do. Spirit is one of the few lcc to have slots at both laguardia and washington national even though it has relatively few slots in both .

A buyout of spirit would help diminish low fare competition at these airports, and allow legacies to charge higher fares to business customers. However, still think that this deal is somewhat improbable, only because spirit is presumably a money making carrier with a good market niche, while us airways is a money losing carrier with lots of problems that could make a merger tricky.

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